Regulation
69% of Democrats, 61% of GOP oppose election bets
A Reuters/Ipsos poll finds most US voters, across both parties, oppose betting on election outcomes.
PollBet: What prediction markets are pricing
News.
Every story the desk has published, newest first, each read in 60 seconds with its sources.
Showing 61–72 of 130 articles.
Regulation
Novig & Crypto.com sue Missouri over sports contract order
Novig & Crypto.com are suing Missouri in separate courts after the state demanded they get licensed or stop offering sports event contracts.
Markets
Traders put 31% odds on S&P 500 hitting 8,000 by year-end
Polymarket traders price a 31% chance the S&P 500 hits 8,000 by year-end.
Regulation
BetMGM boss bets Supreme Court kills prediction markets
BetMGM CEO Adam Greenblatt expects the Supreme Court to rule against prediction markets, siding with states & tribes.
Markets
DraftKings’ 2026 profit at risk from $100m prediction market spend
Jefferies has cut its 2026 earnings forecast for DraftKings by 15%, citing rising prediction market costs.
Regulation
Google blocks prediction-market ads in five US states
Google has barred prediction-market operators from advertising in five US states where legal challenges to the industry are under way.
Markets
Tesla-SpaceX merger odds pass 50% for early 2027
Prediction market traders now price a Tesla-SpaceX merger announcement above even odds for early 2027.
Scandal
$2bn in S&P 500 futures traded before Trump’s Iran U-turn
CFTC staff were reportedly told to withdraw a suspicious-trading report tied to Iran war bets.
Regulation
Oklahoma tribe denies Kalshi partnership claim
An Oklahoma tribe denies Kalshi's claim of a partnership, according to SBC Americas.
Scandal
Kalshi to probe trades on Trump’s press secretary pick
Kalshi is set to probe well-timed trades on Katie Zacharia's surprise press secretary appointment.
Markets
Anthropic faces $2tn IPO bet & a bankruptcy hedge
Polymarket traders are pricing both a $2tn Anthropic IPO & a 21.5% chance of bankruptcy by 2029.
Markets
Kalshi probes bets on $0.01 outsider Zacharia
Kalshi is reportedly investigating unusual trades that correctly picked Katie Zacharia as Trump's next press secretary.