Ivy League admissions become Kalshi’s next betting market
Brown’s admissions office says it has no role beyond what the filing already makes public.
The hit
Kalshi has filed a notice with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission to open prediction markets on Brown’s undergraduate acceptance rate & applicant numbers, according to the Brown Daily Herald. The filing covers Brown & 21 other universities, including every Ivy League school. The markets have not yet opened to traders on the app.
Why it matters
The filing turns college admissions into a tradeable outcome, alongside sport & elections. Brown’s admissions office says it is not involved beyond public filings & news coverage, & staff sign integrity certificates each admissions cycle. Kalshi’s filing bars admissions staff & anyone with non-public admissions data from trading. One student who uses Kalshi warned the market favours people who know Brown admissions well, calling it hard to trade.
The record
| Filing date | Oct. 20 (CFTC notice reported by Brown Daily Herald) |
|---|---|
| Universities covered | 22, including every Ivy League school |
| Trading window | Until Dec. 31 or one week after Brown’s Common Data Set release, whichever is first |
What happens next
Watch for Kalshi to open the Brown market to traders on its app, & for Brown’s Common Data Set release, which can bring forward the Dec. 31 trading cut-off.
Sources: Kalshi plans to open prediction market for Brown acceptance rates
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