Regulation
Prediction market volume up 2,300% since 2023 as rules stay unclear
Prediction markets have traded $409.7bn in 2026 while appeals courts disagree on whether sports contracts are derivatives or bets.
PollBet: What prediction markets are pricing
News.
Every story the desk has published, newest first, each read in 60 seconds with its sources.
Showing 73–84 of 130 articles.
Markets
Prediction markets could cost gaming up to $39.4bn a year
A new report warns prediction markets could drain up to $39.4bn a year from tribal & commercial gaming.
Sports
NBA wants trading data as NFL backs states in jurisdiction fight
Adam Silver wants prediction-market trading data to police insider trading before the NBA season starts 20 October 2026.
Markets
IG Group’s $1.1bn Underdog deal chases US prediction bets
IG Group's proposed $1.1bn buyout of Underdog aims to more than double its US revenue through prediction markets.
Markets
Four tribes break ranks & partner with Kalshi on apps
Four more Native American tribes have signed app deals with Kalshi, deepening a rift with established tribal gaming groups.
Regulation
Gemini, ProphetX & WeBull pull sports contracts in Connecticut
Three prediction market platforms have stopped offering sports event contracts to Connecticut users after state cease-&-desist letters.
Regulation
CFTC enforcement cases drop 80% as crypto market explodes
The CFTC's staff & enforcement actions have both collapsed just as crypto & prediction markets boom, NPR reports.
Regulation
Global regulators back New Jersey in Kalshi Supreme Court bid
Two global gaming regulator bodies have urged the Supreme Court to take up New Jersey's case against Kalshi.
Regulation
Appeals court lets Tennessee & Ohio regulate Kalshi as gambling
A federal appeals court says Tennessee & Ohio can treat Kalshi's event contracts as gambling, not federally regulated swaps.
Regulation
Ohio gives 10 prediction-market firms until 16 October to quit
Ohio's casino regulator has ordered 10 prediction-market operators, including Robinhood & Coinbase, to stop taking sports contracts from state customers.
Markets
Gold overtakes Ether on Kalshi as fees hit $5m
Kalshi's new 15-minute gold contracts outtraded Ether within weeks of launch.
Regulation
CFTC says it has caught politicians trying to trade prediction markets
CFTC chair Michael Selig says the agency has caught political figures trying to trade prediction markets, often after the event.