Regulation
Illinois blocked from enforcing betting law on Kalshi & Coinbase
A federal judge has blocked Illinois from enforcing its sports-wagering licensing scheme against Coinbase & Kalshi.
PollBet: What prediction markets are pricing
News.
Every story the desk has published, newest first, each read in 60 seconds with its sources.
Showing 85–96 of 130 articles.
Politics
Kalshi gives Flanagan 86% despite dead-heat Minnesota polls
Traders price Democrat Peggy Flanagan well above her polling lead in Minnesota's Senate race.
Regulation
Supreme Court asked to settle $53bn-a-month prediction markets fight
New Jersey has asked the Supreme Court to decide whether prediction contracts are derivatives or gambling, with $53bn a month in trading at stake.
Markets
Kalshi traders price 2027 US recession at record-low 20%
Kalshi traders now price a 2027 US recession at a record-low 20%, down from highs of more than 30% to 50% earlier in 2026.
Regulation
Polymarket fights Dutch €420,000-a-week fine in court
Polymarket is challenging the Dutch gambling regulator in court over a €420,000-a-week fine for unlicensed activity.
Politics
Traders split 50-50 on Sánchez as next leader out
Traders pushed the odds of Sánchez being the next European leader out to 50%, up from 6% a day earlier.
Regulation
Becerra refunds Kalshi & Underdog as his odds hit 96%
California governor nominee Xavier Becerra has returned $89,200 in donations from Kalshi & Underdog Sports Holdings amid conflict-of-interest scrutiny.
Politics
Flavio Bolsonaro jumps from 29% to 90% in a day
Traders now price Flavio Bolsonaro at 90% to top Brazil's first-round vote, up from 29% a day earlier.
Sports
UNC’s hot seat: Belichick fired-by-February odds hit 56%
Kalshi traders price a 56% chance Bill Belichick is out at North Carolina by February.
Markets
ARK’s Wood bets on Kalshi, eyes $5tn market
Cathie Wood has added Kalshi to her ETF strategies, praising its management as prediction markets gain investor attention.
Markets
Raven’s prediction-market valuation more than triples to $90m
Prediction-market liquidity provider Raven has more than tripled its valuation to $90 million in a round led by Coinbase Ventures & CMCC Global.
Regulation
Judge partly backs Coinbase & Kalshi in Illinois fight
Coinbase, the CFTC & Kalshi are fighting Illinois in federal court after a cease-&-desist letter & new prediction-market trading fees.