The contract sits in a field of 10 European leaders asking who will leave office next.
The hit
Traders now price Sánchez as a coin-flip to be the next European leader out, according to PredictIt market data. The ‘Yes’ price jumped 44 points in a single day, from 6% to 50%.
Why it matters
No volume figures are published, so the size of money behind the move is unclear. PredictIt also caps how much any single trader can stake on a contract, which limits how far one player can push the price.
The record
| Current price | Yes 50%, No 50% |
|---|---|
| Field | Market covers 10 European leaders |
What happens next
No market close date is stated. Watch PredictIt’s ‘Which of these 10 European leaders will leave office next’ event for further price moves & any rule updates.
Sources: PredictIt: ‘Next European leader out? Sánchez’ up 44 points to 50% yes in a day
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