Markets
Gold overtakes Ether on Kalshi as fees hit $5m
Kalshi's new 15-minute gold contracts outtraded Ether within weeks of launch.
PollBet: What prediction markets are pricing
Markets.
Every Markets story the desk has published, newest first, each read in 60 seconds with its sources.
Showing 37–48 of 55 articles in Markets.
Markets
Kalshi traders price 2027 US recession at record-low 20%
Kalshi traders now price a 2027 US recession at a record-low 20%, down from highs of more than 30% to 50% earlier in 2026.
Markets
ARK’s Wood bets on Kalshi, eyes $5tn market
Cathie Wood has added Kalshi to her ETF strategies, praising its management as prediction markets gain investor attention.
Markets
Raven’s prediction-market valuation more than triples to $90m
Prediction-market liquidity provider Raven has more than tripled its valuation to $90 million in a round led by Coinbase Ventures & CMCC Global.
Markets
Traders slash Fed hike odds from 35% to 16% in a day
Polymarket's Fed rate-hike contract fell 19 points in a day, sending October odds down to 16%.
Markets
Kalshi volume hits $60bn a month as relapse stories mount
A 35-year-old Pennsylvania man banned from DraftKings & FanDuel says he relapsed on Kalshi, running up heavy losses before the firm finally barred him.
Markets
Polymarket US beats Kalshi’s launch-week 15-min Bitcoin volume by 406x
Polymarket US's new 15-minute Bitcoin markets took in $92m in their first full week, far outpacing Kalshi's launch.
Markets
Traders bet big that Bitcoin holds above $82,500 this month
Polymarket traders slashed the odds of a Bitcoin dip to $82,500 this month from 48% to 6% in a day.
Markets
Fed October hold odds double to 50% in a single day
Polymarket traders now see a 50-50 chance the Fed holds rates in October, up from 30% a day earlier.
Markets
Weekly prediction-market volume tops $20bn for first time ever
Prediction markets logged a record $20.4bn weekly volume, with Kalshi taking 77% of the total.
Markets
Trump’s 38.8-39.0% approval contract jumps 25 points to 60%
PredictIt traders repriced the odds of Trump's RCP approval landing at 38.8-39.0% sharply higher in a day.
Markets
Kalshi holds $9.6bn of $10bn weekly non-sports volume
Public now lets AI agents trade Kalshi event contracts & use the odds to trigger stock & options trades elsewhere in a portfolio.