Markets
Texas Senate drives $104m midterm trading surge
Election trading on Kalshi, Polymarket US & rivals hit $103.87m in early October, led by the Texas Senate race & House control.
PollBet: What prediction markets are pricing
Markets.
Every Markets story the desk has published, newest first, each read in 60 seconds with its sources.
Showing 25–36 of 55 articles in Markets.
Markets
Kalshi uses Dillon Brooks to mock LeBron’s Polymarket deal
Kalshi's new ad starring Suns star Dillon Brooks mocks LeBron James's $15m deal with rival platform Polymarket.
Markets
Polymarket pulls Cornell 7 charge market after $450k in bets
Polymarket removed a market on felony charges against the 'Cornell 7' after it drew over $450,000 in trades.
Markets
Kalshi deletes 87% Tucker Carlson crime-odds tweet
Kalshi deleted a tweet claiming an 87% chance Tucker Carlson would be charged with a federal crime this year.
Markets
Traders put 31% odds on S&P 500 hitting 8,000 by year-end
Polymarket traders price a 31% chance the S&P 500 hits 8,000 by year-end.
Markets
DraftKings’ 2026 profit at risk from $100m prediction market spend
Jefferies has cut its 2026 earnings forecast for DraftKings by 15%, citing rising prediction market costs.
Markets
Tesla-SpaceX merger odds pass 50% for early 2027
Prediction market traders now price a Tesla-SpaceX merger announcement above even odds for early 2027.
Markets
Anthropic faces $2tn IPO bet & a bankruptcy hedge
Polymarket traders are pricing both a $2tn Anthropic IPO & a 21.5% chance of bankruptcy by 2029.
Markets
Kalshi probes bets on $0.01 outsider Zacharia
Kalshi is reportedly investigating unusual trades that correctly picked Katie Zacharia as Trump's next press secretary.
Markets
Prediction markets could cost gaming up to $39.4bn a year
A new report warns prediction markets could drain up to $39.4bn a year from tribal & commercial gaming.
Markets
IG Group’s $1.1bn Underdog deal chases US prediction bets
IG Group's proposed $1.1bn buyout of Underdog aims to more than double its US revenue through prediction markets.
Markets
Four tribes break ranks & partner with Kalshi on apps
Four more Native American tribes have signed app deals with Kalshi, deepening a rift with established tribal gaming groups.