Regulation
44 state AGs vs Kalshi’s lobbying millions
Kalshi is funding the political groups that back the state attorneys general trying to regulate it as gambling.
Country
United States
Every PollBet story about betting in the United States: the regulator, the courts, tax & the operators, newest first, each with its sources.
Regulation
New York sues Polymarket as it rolls out self-exclusion tools
Polymarket has introduced voluntary deposit limits & self-exclusion tools as New York's gambling lawsuit against it continues.
Regulation
CFTC clears Coinbase to settle futures & swaps
The CFTC has approved Coinbase as a derivatives clearing organisation, but prediction markets are not covered.
Markets
Traders slash Fed hike odds from 35% to 16% in a day
Polymarket's Fed rate-hike contract fell 19 points in a day, sending October odds down to 16%.
Markets
Kalshi volume hits $60bn a month as relapse stories mount
A 35-year-old Pennsylvania man banned from DraftKings & FanDuel says he relapsed on Kalshi, running up heavy losses before the firm finally barred him.
Politics
Raman flips to 60% in LA mayor race as $98m trades on Kalshi
Nithya Raman has overtaken LA Mayor Karen Bass on Kalshi after a poll put her ahead by 11 points.
Politics
Kansas Democrat odds jump 21pts to 39% on PredictIt
Traders on PredictIt now price Kansas Democrats at 39% to win the 2026 governor's race, up from 18% a day earlier.
Markets
Polymarket US beats Kalshi’s launch-week 15-min Bitcoin volume by 406x
Polymarket US's new 15-minute Bitcoin markets took in $92m in their first full week, far outpacing Kalshi's launch.
Politics
NC-11 Republican odds plunge 66 points to 33% in a day
Traders slashed the odds of a Republican win in North Carolina's 11th District in a single day.
Markets
Traders bet big that Bitcoin holds above $82,500 this month
Polymarket traders slashed the odds of a Bitcoin dip to $82,500 this month from 48% to 6% in a day.
Regulation
White House vets CFTC bid to redefine event contracts as swaps
The White House is reviewing CFTC proposals that would redefine event contracts as swaps & exclude casino-style gambling products.
Politics
Maine House race: Republican odds leap 23pts to 57%
Traders on PredictIt now price Republicans at 57% to win Maine's 2nd District House seat after a 23-point jump in a day.