NC-11 Republican odds plunge 66 points to 33% in a day
PredictIt caps individual trader positions & publishes no volume data for the swing.
The hit
Traders on PredictIt slashed the implied odds of a Republican win in North Carolina’s 11th House district race from 99% to 33% in a single day. The 66-point collapse flips the contest from an apparent lock for Republicans to one now favouring ‘No’, priced at 67%.
Why it matters
PredictIt caps each trader’s position & does not publish volume data, so it’s unclear how many traders drove the repricing. PredictIt gives no reason for the swing.
The record
| Yes price before | 99% (PredictIt) |
|---|---|
| Yes price now | 33% (PredictIt) |
| One-day move | -66 points (PredictIt) |
| No price now | 67% (PredictIt) |
| Volume published | none (PredictIt) |
What happens next
Watch for further repricing on PredictIt’s NC-11 market before the 2026 vote; no closing date has been stated.
Sources: PredictIt: NC-11 House race winner? Republican
18+. Betting involves risk. If gambling is a problem for you or someone close to you, help is available.
Discussion
Ask a question, add useful context or share a source. Keep it relevant & respectful.
Add a comment