
$2bn in S&P 500 futures traded before Trump’s Iran U-turn
CFTC staff were reportedly told to withdraw a suspicious-trading report tied to Iran war bets.
Every PollBet story about betting in the United States: the regulator, the courts, tax & the operators, newest first, each with its sources.

CFTC staff were reportedly told to withdraw a suspicious-trading report tied to Iran war bets.

An Oklahoma tribe denies Kalshi's claim of a partnership, according to SBC Americas.

Kalshi is set to probe well-timed trades on Katie Zacharia's surprise press secretary appointment.

Kalshi is reportedly investigating unusual trades that correctly picked Katie Zacharia as Trump's next press secretary.

Prediction markets have traded $409.7bn in 2026 while appeals courts disagree on whether sports contracts are derivatives or bets.

A new report warns prediction markets could drain up to $39.4bn a year from tribal & commercial gaming.

Adam Silver wants prediction-market trading data to police insider trading before the NBA season starts 20 October 2026.

IG Group's proposed $1.1bn buyout of Underdog aims to more than double its US revenue through prediction markets.

Four more Native American tribes have signed app deals with Kalshi, deepening a rift with established tribal gaming groups.

Three prediction market platforms have stopped offering sports event contracts to Connecticut users after state cease-&-desist letters.

The CFTC's staff & enforcement actions have both collapsed just as crypto & prediction markets boom, NPR reports.

Two global gaming regulator bodies have urged the Supreme Court to take up New Jersey's case against Kalshi.