Traders now doubt Donut Battery’s lithium-free claim at 76%
The market has traded M748,031 in play money since it opened.
The hit
Traders on play-money platform Manifold pulled the odds on ‘Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?’ down 16 points in a day, from 40% to 24% yes. The move came on M34,460 of trading in the past 24 hours, in mana that has no cash value.
Why it matters
The desk measured the 16-point swing against its reading roughly 24 hours earlier, when yes stood at 40%. Because Manifold runs on play money, the shift reflects collective judgment rather than real financial stakes, but the scale of the move still marks a notable break from where the crowd stood a day earlier.
The record
| Yes price now | 24% |
|---|---|
| Yes price a day earlier | 40% |
| 24-hour trading volume | M34,460 in play money |
| Liquidity | M100,000 in play money |
| Market closes | 1 January 2027 |
What happens next
The market stays open, giving traders time to reprice again as more information on Donut Battery’s chemistry emerges.
Sources: Manifold: ‘Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?’ down 16 points to 24% yes in a day
18+. Betting involves risk. If gambling is a problem for you or someone close to you, help is available.
Discussion
Ask a question, add useful context or share a source. Keep it relevant & respectful.