Fitzpatrick’s FedEx Open price climbs to 77% on Kalshi
The market has traded on Kalshi since it opened, according to the exchange.
The hit
Matt Fitzpatrick’s price to win the FedEx Open de France jumped 27 points in a single day on Kalshi, according to the exchange. Traders now put his implied chance at 77%, up from 50%, on 285,107 contracts traded in the last 24 hours.
Why it matters
A 27-point swing in a day is a big repricing for a single-event market, showing traders moving fast on one outcome. For anyone watching the contract, the move signals a sharp shift in perceived certainty before the tournament concludes, though Kalshi’s price reflects trader sentiment, not a forecast.
The record
| Yes price now | 77% (Kalshi) |
|---|---|
| Yes price a day earlier | 50% (Kalshi) |
| 24-hour volume | 285,107 contracts at $1 each (Kalshi) |
| Total volume since market opened | 819,709 contracts at $1 each (Kalshi) |
| Market closes | 2026-10-11 (Kalshi) |
What happens next
The market closes & resolves to Yes if Fitzpatrick wins the FedEx Open de France, per Kalshi’s rules. Watch whether the 77% price holds or moves again before the tournament ends.
Sources: Kalshi: FedEx Open de France Winner: Matt Fitzpatrick
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